Athlone Town (DDLWL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.2 for UCD (LWLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 69/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
69/100
UCD 1-0 Athlone Town
2026-05-29T20:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Athlone Town 0-2 UCD
2026-04-03T20:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
UCD 2-2 Athlone Town
2025-10-10T20:45:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Athlone Town 1-2 UCD
2025-08-04T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
UCD 2-0 Athlone Town
2025-05-30T20:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Athlone Town 2-1 UCD
2025-03-14T20:45:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Final score
0-0
Pre-kickoff call
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 69/100
Strongest cover
12
71.7% probability
Risk classification
High
28.3% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Athlone Town
5/15 recent form points
UCD
6/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Athlone Town 1-0 UCD
2024-09-23T20:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
UCD 1-2 Athlone Town
2024-07-04T20:45:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Athlone Town 2-2 UCD
2024-05-24T20:45:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
UCD 3-0 Athlone Town
2024-03-15T20:45:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Under 2.5 Goals · 53.9% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1287 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Fri, 31 Jul 2026 18:38 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.