Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners

Asan Mugunghwa’s home record is stronger than Ansan Greeners’ away results, with Asan at 7W 6D 6L versus Ansan’s 5W 3D 11L. Asan also has the better goal profile overall, scoring 28 and conceding 23, while Ansan scores 20 and concedes 36, which suggests Asan is more likely to create and sustain scoring chances. The recent form leans slightly toward Asan, with “WDLLW” compared to Ansan’s “LWLWD.” While neither side is in dominant form, the combination of Asan’s steadier results and defensive solidity at home supports the home-win lean. The goal expectations are fairly balanced, but both teams to score is slightly favored (54.8%), and over 2.5 goals is also just above the midpoint (54.4%). That aligns with a scenario where Asan can edge the match without it necessarily being a low-scoring shutout. Overall, the home win probability (56.9%) is the highest of the three match outcomes, with a relatively low risk profile (confidenceScore 78). The draw remains a meaningful alternative (23.6%), so the edge for Asan is present but not absolute.