AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 43/100
Arema FC (DL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.3 for DPMM FC Brunei (DL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 43/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
43/100
Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +10.6% | 7.41 | 13.5% | 13.0% | -0.5% |
| Marathonbet | 7.10 | 14.1% | 13.0% | -1.1% | |
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 30 Jul 2026 23:29 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Strongest cover
1X
87.0% probability
Risk classification
High
21.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
51 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Arema FC
1/6 recent form points
DPMM FC Brunei
1/6 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| William Hill |
| 7.00 |
| 14.3% |
| 13.0% |
| -1.3% |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 14.3% | 13.0% | -1.3% |
| Pinnacle | 5.93 | 16.9% | 13.0% | -3.9% |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 17.4% | 13.0% | -4.4% |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +9.0% | 4.50 | 22.2% | 21.1% | -1.1% |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 23.8% | 21.1% | -2.7% |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 24.1% | 21.1% | -3.0% |
| 1xBet | 4.15 | 24.1% | 21.1% | -3.0% |
| Pinnacle | 4.03 | 24.8% | 21.1% | -3.7% |
| William Hill | 3.75 | 26.7% | 21.1% | -5.6% |
Home 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +1.2% | 1.41 | 70.9% | 65.9% | -5.0% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.9% | -5.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.9% | -5.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.9% | -5.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 65.9% | -6.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 73.0% | 65.9% | -7.1% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.8% | 2.08 | 48.1% | 46.7% | -1.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 51.0% | 46.7% | -4.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.96 | 51.0% | 46.7% | -4.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 51.0% | 46.7% | -4.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 51.0% | 46.7% | -4.3% |
Over 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +0.3% | 1.74 | 57.5% | 53.3% | -4.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 57.5% | 53.3% | -4.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 57.5% | 53.3% | -4.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.3% | -4.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.3% | -4.8% |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +0.3% | 1.92 | 52.1% | 48.2% | -3.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 52.1% | 48.2% | -3.9% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.2% | -4.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.2% | -4.2% |
No BTTS | 1xBetBest price +0.7% | 1.76 | 56.8% | 51.8% | -5.0% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.8% | -5.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.8% | -5.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 57.8% | 51.8% | -6.0% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetVictorBest price +4.2% | 2.75 | 36.4% | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 38.2% | 0.0% | -38.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 38.2% | 0.0% | -38.2% |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 38.5% | 0.0% | -38.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 38.5% | 0.0% | -38.5% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.7% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 89.3% | 0.0% | -89.3% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +3.0% | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.03 | 97.1% | 0.0% | -97.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.03 | 97.1% | 0.0% | -97.1% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.