Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu

Ararat-Armenia at home have been strong in the league, with 18 wins from 27 matches and a solid goal record of 50 scored and 25 conceded. They also keep games tight at the back, with 11 clean sheets, and their recent form includes two wins in their last five results (WWLWW), which supports the idea of a home edge. FC Urartu away are competitive but slightly less convincing, with 14 wins from 27 and 43 goals scored versus 26 conceded. Their clean sheets are relatively good (13), and their recent run is mixed (WLWDL), suggesting they can be difficult to break down, but they may not consistently dominate. The probabilities lean toward Ararat-Armenia for the result, with home win at 51.6% versus draw at 25.6% and away win at 22.8%. There’s also a slight lean toward both teams scoring (52.5%), and the over 2.5 goals probability is just under a coin flip (48.9%), so the match could be close rather than high-scoring. Overall, the home win call fits the home record and defensive strength, but the confidence is only moderate (52) and the risk is high, mainly because the goal and scoring indicators are not strongly one-sided.