Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

Anderlecht’s home record is relatively balanced but slightly positive, with 15 wins and 10 draws from 40 matches, and their goal difference is close to neutral (59 scored, 62 conceded). Their recent form includes two wins in the last five results (LDDWL), which supports the idea that they can edge a match at home even if they are not consistently dominant. RAAL La Louvière’s away record is weaker, with only 7 wins from 36 matches and a low scoring output (35 scored, 50 conceded). Their recent form is also poor overall, with four straight losses before a win (LLLLW), which makes it harder for them to sustain pressure or convert chances on the road. The match profile points to a fairly even game in terms of scoring likelihood. Both teams to score is slightly favored (54.0%), and over 2.5 goals is just above coin-flip (51.4%), suggesting goals are plausible on both sides rather than a low-scoring shutout. With home win at 54.2% and away win at 21.3%, the home side has the edge, but the draw probability is still substantial (24.5%). That combination aligns with the moderate confidence and higher risk level, since the result could easily swing to a stalemate.