America de Cali vs Chico

America de Cali at home has a stronger overall record than Chico away, with 11 wins in 22 matches compared to Chico’s 5 wins in 19. America de Cali also has a better goal profile, scoring 28 and conceding 20, while Chico scores 15 and concedes 32, suggesting America de Cali should create more scoring chances and face less defensive pressure. In recent form, America de Cali’s sequence is LWDLW, which includes two wins and a draw in five matches, while Chico’s is LWLLW, with only two wins and more losses. That difference in form aligns with the higher home-win probability of 64.0% versus 13.8% for Chico. For goals, the matchup sits around a coin-flip level for over 2.5 goals at 46.7%, and both teams to score at 46.4%. With Chico conceding 32 goals, America de Cali may be able to score, but Chico’s low scoring output (15) keeps the likelihood of a high-scoring game and a clear “both teams score” outcome from looking dominant. Overall, the home win lean is supported by the home team’s better record and goal difference, but the moderate confidence (71) and the relatively balanced goal probabilities keep the result from being fully certain.