America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional

America de Cali at home have been relatively solid defensively, conceding 20 goals in 24 matches and keeping 12 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed but includes a strong defensive streak with three clean-sheet results in the last five games (DLWWW). Atletico Nacional away have been more attack-minded, scoring 52 goals in 26 matches while conceding 21. They also have a decent defensive baseline with 10 clean sheets, and their recent form shows two wins in the last five (WWLWW), suggesting they can score without needing a high-scoring shootout every time. The overall goal profile points toward fewer than three total goals. America de Cali’s 36 scored versus 20 conceded and Atletico Nacional’s 52 scored versus 21 conceded both lean toward controlled games, and the provided probabilities support this with over 2.5 goals at 45.1% and both teams to score at 51.1%, leaving room for a low-scoring outcome. With over 2.5 goals not strongly favored and both teams-to-score only slightly above a coin flip, Under 2.5 goals looks reasonable, though not guaranteed. The confidence score of 72 and medium risk reflect that the match could still turn into a 2-1 or 1-1 type game rather than a clear under.