Alianza Lima W vs Yanapuma W

Alianza Lima W look stronger at home, with a 12W 2D 3L record and a very solid defensive profile, conceding 11 goals in 17 matches and keeping 11 clean sheets. Their recent form is also strong, showing LWWWW, which supports the idea they can control the game. Yanapuma W’s away record is less convincing, with 5W 1D 7L and 35 goals conceded in 13 matches. Their recent form is also weaker, with LWLLL, suggesting they have struggled to consistently generate results on the road. The matchup profile points toward a home win, with Alianza Lima W favored at 82.6% versus 5.8% for Yanapuma W. It also aligns with a likely goals environment, with over 2.5 goals at 71.3% and both teams to score at 53.7%, indicating Alianza Lima may score enough to win even if Yanapuma occasionally find chances. Overall, the low risk level fits the gap in defensive strength and home performance, though the draw still has a non-trivial chance at 11.6%.