Liga Profesional Argentina
Pre-match
High risk

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin prediction

Sun, Oct 11, 08:00 PM

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 70/100

Model verdict
High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Aldosivi (LLWLW) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.1 for Sarmiento Junin (WLWDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 70/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

70/100

Confidence
70/100

Strongest cover

12

69.0% probability

Risk classification

High

31.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

A win34.6%
Draw31%
SJ win34.4%

Goals

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.4%
Under 2.564.6%

Both teams to score

Yes43.4%
No56.6%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Aldosivi

6/15 recent form points

LLWLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.69
Shots on target
Unavailable

Sarmiento Junin

7/15 recent form points

WLWDL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.15
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Sarmiento Junin 2-0 Aldosivi

2026-03-22T19:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Sarmiento Junin 2-0 Aldosivi

2025-09-14T02:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Aldosivi 2-2 Sarmiento Junin

2025-03-01T21:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Aldosivi 1-2 Sarmiento Junin

2022-09-03T20:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin 3-0 Aldosivi

2021-10-09T18:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin 1-0 Aldosivi

2018-03-24T23:05:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Sarmiento Junin 0-2 Aldosivi

2016-12-17T21:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Sarmiento Junin 2-2 Aldosivi

2015-03-02T22:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin 0-1 Aldosivi

2014-05-03T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Aldosivi 0-0 Sarmiento Junin

2013-11-03T21:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: Aldosivi predictions · Sarmiento Junin predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.