Alashkert vs BKMA

Alashkert at home has a stronger overall record than BKMA on the road, with 16 wins in 27 matches compared to BKMA’s 4 wins in 27. Alashkert also has a clear defensive edge, conceding 23 goals versus BKMA’s 42, and they’ve kept 10 clean sheets compared with BKMA’s 5. In recent form, Alashkert’s sequence is DDWWW, showing more consistent positive results, while BKMA’s is WDLLD, with more losses and fewer momentum signals. That combination supports the idea that Alashkert can control the match more often, which aligns with the home win leaning. The goal outlook is more balanced. Alashkert’s goal difference is favorable (42 scored, 23 conceded), but BKMA still has enough scoring to keep the match from looking one-sided, reflected in the near-even both teams to score probability (49.5%). Over 2.5 goals is slightly more likely than not (50.7%), suggesting a moderate chance of a multi-goal game rather than a clear runaway. With home win at 64.9% but only a 52 confidence score and high risk level, the pick is reasonable but not strongly reliable. A draw remains a meaningful alternative (21.3%), and the close both-teams-to-score rate indicates BKMA could still find a goal even if they struggle overall.