King's Cup
Finished
High risk

Al Taee vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

05Full time
Mon, Aug 17, 04:15 PMPrince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 36/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Al Taee (WL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.5 for Al-Qadisiyah FC (WWWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 36/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

36/100

Confidence
36/100

Strongest cover

12

75.2% probability

Risk classification

High

24.8% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AT win34.7%
Draw24.8%
AF win40.5%

Goals

Over 1.582%
Over 2.559.6%
Under 2.540.4%

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Al Taee

3/6 recent form points

WL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
3.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Al-Qadisiyah FC

12/15 recent form points

WWWWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.20
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/3 and Over 2.5 in 1/3.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Al Taee 0-5 Al-Qadisiyah FC

2026-08-17T18:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Al Taee 0-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC

2020-09-15T19:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-1 Al Taee

2019-12-24T12:55:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Al-Qadisiyah FC look slightly more likely to edge the match, with the away win probability at 40.5% versus 34.7% for Al Taee. The draw sits at 24.8%, so the pricing leans toward a result rather than a stalemate. Both teams to score is supported by the goal profiles: Al Taee have scored 6 and conceded 6 across 2 matches, with no clean sheets, while Al-Qadisiyah have scored 11 and conceded 5 across 5 matches, including 2 clean sheets but still allowing goals in most games. That combination aligns with the BTTS Yes probability of 62.5%. The over 2.5 goals angle also points in the same direction, with 59.6% for over 2.5. With Al Taee’s matches producing 6 goals total and Al-Qadisiyah’s games showing a strong scoring rate, a two-sided scoring script is more plausible than a low-scoring one. Confidence is limited (36) and risk is high, so while BTTS Yes fits the scoring tendencies, the relatively modest sample sizes and the possibility of an Al-Qadisiyah clean sheet keep it from being a safer call.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-5

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 62.5% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.2382 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Mon, 17 Aug 2026 16:08 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Al Taee predictions · Al-Qadisiyah FC predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.