Al Sulaibikhat vs Al Sahel
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 47/100
Under 2.5 Goals
Al Sulaibikhat (WWDWD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.2 for Al Sahel (DDWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 47/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
47/100
Strongest cover
12
70.4% probability
Risk classification
High
29.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Al Sulaibikhat
11/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.95
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Al Sahel
11/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.74
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 17, 04:00 PM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Al Sahel 1-4 Al Sulaibikhat
2026-02-21T19:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Al Sulaibikhat 0-1 Al Sahel
2025-10-27T17:50:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sulaibikhat 1-1 Al Sahel
2025-05-03T19:05:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sahel 1-1 Al Sulaibikhat
2025-03-28T19:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sulaibikhat 3-1 Al Sahel
2025-02-03T15:55:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Al Sahel 3-1 Al Sulaibikhat
2025-01-05T17:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Al Sulaibikhat 1-1 Al Sahel
2024-05-09T18:05:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sahel 1-1 Al Sulaibikhat
2024-03-14T19:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sulaibikhat 0-2 Al Sahel
2023-12-31T17:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sahel 4-2 Al Sulaibikhat
2023-10-25T16:35:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +6.4% | 3.20 | 31.3% | 29.6% | -1.6% |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29.6% | -2.7% | |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29.6% | -2.7% | |
| 10Bet | 2.95 | 33.9% | 29.6% | -4.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.89 | 34.6% | 29.6% | -5.0% | |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 35.7% | 29.6% | -6.1% | |
Home 1X2 | BetfairBest price +7.8% | 2.80 | 35.7% | 35.0% | -0.7% |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 38.5% | 35.0% | -3.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 38.8% | 35.0% | -3.8% | |
| 10Bet | 2.55 | 39.2% | 35.0% | -4.2% | |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 39.2% | 35.0% | -4.2% | |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 35.0% | -5.0% | |
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +3.7% | 2.64 | 37.9% | 35.4% | -2.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 38.0% | 35.4% | -2.6% | |
| 10Bet | 2.60 | 38.5% | 35.4% | -3.1% | |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 38.5% | 35.4% | -3.1% | |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 39.2% | 35.4% | -3.8% | |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 44.4% | 35.4% | -9.0% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +3.4% | 2.23 | 44.8% | 43.0% | -1.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 43.0% | -2.5% | |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 45.5% | 43.0% | -2.5% | |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 47.6% | 43.0% | -4.6% | |
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 48.8% | 43.0% | -5.8% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.2% | 1.65 | 60.6% | 57.0% | -3.6% |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 60.6% | 57.0% | -3.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.0% | -5.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.0% | -5.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 57.0% | -6.7% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.5% | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.9% | -3.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.9% | -3.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 53.5% | 48.9% | -4.6% | |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.9% | -5.2% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +3.2% | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.1% | -3.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.1% | -4.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 56.5% | 51.1% | -5.4% | |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.1% | -6.0% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +9.8% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 73.0% | 0.0% | -73.0% | |
| 10Bet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.6% | 1.45 | 69.0% | 0.0% | -69.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 71.9% | 0.0% | -71.9% | |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +4.2% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 76.3% | 0.0% | -76.3% | |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 17 Aug 2026 16:09 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Team hubs: Al Sulaibikhat predictions · Al Sahel predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.