AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 47/100
Al Sahel (WWLLW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 0.9 for Khaitan (LWDWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 47/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
47/100
Khaitan 0-2 Al Sahel
2025-12-21T17:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sahel 0-0 Khaitan
2025-09-14T17:20:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Khaitan 3-2 Al Sahel
2023-12-01T17:15:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Al Sahel 2-1 Khaitan
2022-04-22T20:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Khaitan 2-0 Al Sahel
2022-03-08T16:20:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Al Sahel 3-2 Khaitan
2022-01-08T14:10:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 02:26 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Strongest cover
12
72.5% probability
Risk classification
High
27.5% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
3 sources
26 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Al Sahel
9/15 recent form points
Khaitan
7/15 recent form points
API-Football does not provide xG in this statistics response. This free-tier forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Khaitan 2-1 Al Sahel
2021-12-16T15:25:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Al Sahel 0-2 Khaitan
2021-04-15T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Khaitan 1-3 Al Sahel
2021-01-21T15:45:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Al Sahel 3-0 Khaitan
2020-11-06T15:25:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | 2.15 | 46.51162790697674% | 42.8% | -3.7% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.20 | 31.25% | 27.5% | -3.8% |
Away 1X2 | 2.90 | 34.48275862068966% | 29.7% | -4.8% |
Yes BTTS | 1.85 | 54.05405405405405% | 49.5% | -4.6% |
No BTTS | 1.80 | 55.55555555555556% | 50.5% | -5.1% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.33 | 75.18796992481202% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.35 | 74.07407407407408% | 0.0% | -74.1% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.57 | 63.69426751592356% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
Home 1X2 | 2.15 | 46.51162790697674% | 42.8% | -3.7% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.20 | 31.25% | 27.5% | -3.8% |
Away 1X2 | 2.90 | 34.48275862068966% | 29.7% | -4.8% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 2.15 | 46.51162790697674% | 44.1% | -2.4% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.67 | 59.88023952095809% | 55.9% | -4.0% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.28 | 78.125% | 0.0% | -78.1% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.57 | 63.69426751592356% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
Home 1X2 | 2.18 | 45.87155963302752% | 42.8% | -3.1% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.16 | 31.645569620253163% | 27.5% | -4.1% |
Away 1X2 | 2.96 | 33.78378378378378% | 29.7% | -4.1% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 2.08 | 48.07692307692307% | 44.1% | -4.0% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.65 | 60.60606060606061% | 55.9% | -4.7% |
Yes BTTS | 1.83 | 54.64480874316939% | 49.5% | -5.1% |
No BTTS | 1.81 | 55.24861878453039% | 50.5% | -4.7% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.26 | 79.36507936507937% | 0.0% | -79.4% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.53 | 65.359477124183% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.