Pro League
Finished
High risk

Al Kholood vs Al Taawon

32Full time
Sat, Aug 22, 04:10 PMAl-Hazem Club Stadium

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 50/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Al Kholood (DDDLD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.5 for Al Taawon (LWLDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 50/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

50/100

Confidence
50/100

Strongest cover

12

74.3% probability

Risk classification

High

25.7% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AK win32.6%
Draw25.7%
AT win41.7%

Goals

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.2%
Under 2.543.8%

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Al Kholood

4/15 recent form points

DDDLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.15
Shots on target
Unavailable

Al Taawon

4/15 recent form points

LWLDL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.74
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/5 and Over 2.5 in 2/5.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Al Kholood 3-2 Al Taawon

2026-08-22T18:10:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al Taawon 1-2 Al Kholood

2026-04-11T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al Kholood 0-2 Al Taawon

2025-12-26T16:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al Kholood 0-2 Al Taawon

2025-04-04T16:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al Taawon 1-1 Al Kholood

2024-11-02T15:55:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Al Taawon’s away profile looks relatively strong in terms of results, with 15 wins from 34 matches and a better goal record than Al Kholood. Al Kholood have 39 goals scored and 61 conceded, which suggests they concede more often than they keep opponents out, even though they have 6 clean sheets. The matchup leans toward both teams scoring. Al Kholood’s recent form is mostly draws and low momentum (DDDLD), but their season goals conceded are high enough to support the idea that Al Taawon can find chances. Al Taawon’s recent form includes a win and a draw in their last five (LWLDL), and they have 59 goals scored overall, which aligns with the both teams to score probability. With both teams to score at 59.8% and over 2.5 goals at 56.2%, the game script is more likely to involve at least one goal from each side rather than a tight shutout. The draw is not the dominant outcome, and the away win probability (41.7%) is slightly higher than the home win (32.6%), which also fits a scenario where Al Taawon contribute offensively. Confidence is moderate and risk is high (confidenceScore 50), so while BTTS Yes is the lean, the recent form and the relatively close goal-based probabilities mean it’s not a clear-cut call.

Recorded forecast

Final score

3-2

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 59.8% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.3152 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 22 Aug 2026 08:29 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Al Kholood predictions · Al Taawon predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.