AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 68/100
Aktobe Jas (DWDLL) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1.6 for Ekibastuz (WLLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 68/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
68/100
Ekibastuz 1-1 Aktobe Jas
2026-05-08T12:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Aktobe Jas 2-5 Ekibastuz
2025-07-24T12:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Ekibastuz 3-3 Aktobe Jas
2025-04-24T11:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Aktobe Jas 2-4 Ekibastuz
2024-08-02T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Ekibastuz 3-0 Aktobe Jas
2024-04-25T11:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Aktobe Jas 2-2 Ekibastuz
2023-09-01T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Final score
0-2
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Strongest cover
12
78.3% probability
Risk classification
High
21.7% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
1 source
6 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Aktobe Jas
5/15 recent form points
Ekibastuz
6/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Ekibastuz 3-0 Aktobe Jas
2023-05-19T13:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Ekibastuz 3-0 Aktobe Jas
2019-08-30T12:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Aktobe Jas 0-2 Ekibastuz
2019-05-16T13:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Aktobe Jas 0-4 Ekibastuz
2018-10-05T12:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | 10Bet | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21.7% | -3.3% |
Away 1X2 | 10Bet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 37.6% | -4.4% |
Home 1X2 | 10Bet | 2.25 | 44.4% | 40.7% | -3.7% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10Bet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 10Bet | 1.45 | 69.0% | 0.0% | -69.0% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 10Bet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 67.8% → Lost
Ranked probability score
0.2775 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 06 Aug 2026 12:37 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.