Ajax vs Shelbourne

Ajax at home has been very strong in its two matches, winning both and scoring 8 goals while conceding only 2. That home profile aligns with the higher home-win probability of 66.3%, even if the overall confidence is limited (confidence score 36, risk level high). Shelbourne’s away results look weaker, with 4 losses in 8 and only 5 goals scored across those matches. Their recent form is also poor, with four straight losses before a draw, which supports the lower away-win probability of 13.1%. For goals, the match is more balanced: the over 2.5 goals probability is 47.1% and both teams to score is 47.0%, suggesting Ajax’s attacking edge may not reliably translate into a high-scoring game, and Shelbourne could still keep the scoreline from being one-sided. Overall, the home win lean is supported by Ajax’s clean record at home and Shelbourne’s struggling away form, but the relatively modest goal-related probabilities and the high risk level indicate the result is not assured.