Adelaide Raiders vs The Cove

Adelaide Raiders have the stronger overall record at this level, with 13 wins from 20 matches compared with The Cove’s 7 wins. They also have a clear goal advantage, scoring 51 and conceding 24, which supports the idea that they can control the game more often than their opponents. The Cove’s results look more mixed in recent form, with a run of DDDLL, while Adelaide’s last five includes four wins and a draw. That contrast in momentum aligns with the home win leaning, even if it’s not overwhelming given The Cove’s ability to draw some matches. In terms of scoring, Adelaide’s season profile suggests they are more likely to create chances and limit damage, with 8 clean sheets and a strong goal difference. The probabilities provided also point to a likely over 2.5 goals outcome (62.2%) and a moderate chance of both teams scoring (57.5%), which fits a home win scenario where Adelaide still may not keep it entirely one-sided. With home win at 68.2% and a medium risk level, the case for Adelaide is fairly solid, but The Cove’s 5 draws and 29 goals conceded mean there is still room for an upset or a closer match than a comfortable margin.