Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Raiders
0–1Full timeAI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 65/100
BTTS Yes
Adelaide Olympic (WWWWL) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.4 for Adelaide Raiders (WWDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 65/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
65/100
Strongest cover
12
75.6% probability
Risk classification
High
24.4% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
50 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Adelaide Olympic
12/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.91
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Adelaide Raiders
13/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.55
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 15, 06:01 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Adelaide Olympic 0-1 Adelaide Raiders
2026-08-15T09:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Adelaide Raiders 3-1 Adelaide Olympic
2026-05-23T07:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Adelaide Olympic 2-1 Adelaide Raiders
2024-06-08T10:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Adelaide Raiders 0-1 Adelaide Olympic
2024-03-08T10:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Adelaide Olympic 2-0 Adelaide Raiders
2021-09-04T10:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Adelaide Raiders 3-3 Adelaide Olympic
2021-06-19T07:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Adelaide Olympic 4-4 Adelaide Raiders
2020-08-29T10:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Adelaide Raiders 2-0 Adelaide Olympic
2020-07-11T07:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Adelaide Raiders 1-1 Adelaide Olympic
2019-06-08T07:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Adelaide Olympic 2-1 Adelaide Raiders
2019-04-13T11:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +3.4% | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24.4% | -2.6% |
| Betfair | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24.4% | -2.6% | |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.4% | -3.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 27.9% | 24.4% | -3.5% | |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24.4% | -4.2% | |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24.4% | -5.0% | |
Home 1X2 | BetVictorBest price +3.2% | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.6% | -2.4% |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 40.8% | 37.6% | -3.2% | |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 40.8% | 37.6% | -3.2% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 41.0% | 37.6% | -3.4% | |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.6% | -4.1% | |
| Unibet | 2.30 | 43.5% | 37.6% | -5.9% | |
Away 1X2 | UnibetBest price +3.1% | 2.43 | 41.2% | 38.0% | -3.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 41.7% | 38.0% | -3.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 42.4% | 38.0% | -4.4% | |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 42.6% | 38.0% | -4.6% | |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 43.5% | 38.0% | -5.5% | |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 38.0% | -5.5% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | UnibetBest price +10.7% | 2.70 | 37.0% | 38.0% | +1.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 42.0% | 38.0% | -4.0% | |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 42.6% | 38.0% | -4.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 42.9% | 38.0% | -4.9% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.5% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 62.0% | -1.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 65.4% | 62.0% | -3.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 67.6% | 62.0% | -5.6% | |
| Unibet | 1.37 | 73.0% | 62.0% | -11.0% | |
No BTTS | BetVictorBest price +3.0% | 2.55 | 39.2% | 37.1% | -2.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.1% | -2.9% | |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 42.0% | 37.1% | -4.9% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +3.0% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.9% | -3.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 69.4% | 62.9% | -6.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 69.9% | 62.9% | -7.0% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.8% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 68.5% | 0.0% | -68.5% | |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 0.0% | -72.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.3% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| Unibet | 1.45 | 69.0% | 0.0% | -69.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 69.0% | 0.0% | -69.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 69.9% | 0.0% | -69.9% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.2% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
| Unibet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
0-1
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 63.0% → Lost
Ranked probability score
0.2639 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sat, 15 Aug 2026 07:01 UTC, before kickoff at 1.50 (William Hill), by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
More predictions
Team hubs: Adelaide Olympic predictions · Adelaide Raiders predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.