AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Academia Cantolao (LLLLD) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.2 for Cesar Vallejo (WLLDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 63/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
63/100
Cesar Vallejo 2-1 Academia Cantolao
2026-04-19T20:10:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Cesar Vallejo 2-1 Academia Cantolao
2023-07-16T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Academia Cantolao 1-2 Cesar Vallejo
2023-02-11T19:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Academia Cantolao 0-1 Cesar Vallejo
2022-10-08T20:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cesar Vallejo 0-1 Academia Cantolao
2022-05-21T02:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cesar Vallejo 0-0 Academia Cantolao
2021-09-18T20:15:00+02:00
Final score
1-1
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 54.4% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 63/100
Strongest cover
X2
75.7% probability
Risk classification
Medium
28.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
50 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Academia Cantolao
1/15 recent form points
Cesar Vallejo
5/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/9 and Over 2.5 in 3/9.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cesar Vallejo 1-1 Academia Cantolao
2020-09-25T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Academia Cantolao 1-0 Cesar Vallejo
2019-09-15T00:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cesar Vallejo 1-0 Academia Cantolao
2019-04-01T01:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | BetfairBest price +4.7% | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.3% | -2.0% |
| 10Bet | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24.3% | -2.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 27.2% | 24.3% | -2.9% | |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.3% | -3.5% | |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.3% | -3.5% | |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24.3% | -5.1% | |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +4.7% | 3.20 | 31.3% | 28.6% | -2.6% |
| Marathonbet | 3.15 | 31.7% | 28.6% | -3.1% | |
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.6% | -3.7% | |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.6% | -3.7% | |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 34.5% | 28.6% | -5.9% | |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 34.7% | 28.6% | -6.1% | |
Away 1X2 | William HillBest price +5.1% | 2.00 | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 52.4% | 47.1% | -5.3% | |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 52.4% | 47.1% | -5.3% | |
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 52.6% | 47.1% | -5.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 47.1% | -5.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 55.6% | 47.1% | -8.5% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.6% | 2.25 | 44.4% | 42.4% | -2.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 45.7% | 42.4% | -3.3% | |
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 46.5% | 42.4% | -4.1% | |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 51.8% | 42.4% | -9.4% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.0% | 1.62 | 61.7% | 57.6% | -4.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 62.9% | 57.6% | -5.3% | |
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 57.6% | -6.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 57.6% | -10.4% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +3.4% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 47.3% | -4.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 51.8% | 47.3% | -4.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.78 | 56.2% | 47.3% | -8.9% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +4.2% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 52.7% | -4.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 58.1% | 52.7% | -5.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 63.7% | 52.7% | -11.0% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.2% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 0.0% | -57.1% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 0.0% | -57.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% | |
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 59.9% | 0.0% | -59.9% | |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 61.7% | 0.0% | -61.7% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +6.4% | 1.35 | 74.1% | 0.0% | -74.1% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% | |
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +3.9% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
Ranked probability score
0.1291 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sat, 01 Aug 2026 15:22 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.