AC Milan vs Inter

Inter’s away record is stronger in this sample, with 3 wins from 3 and no draws or losses, while AC Milan at home has 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Inter has also been more effective defensively, conceding 3 goals in 3 matches versus Milan conceding 8 in 4, and Inter has a clean sheet. In attack, Inter’s 7 goals in 3 matches outpace Milan’s 6 in 4, which supports the higher away-win probability. The overall probability split also reflects this balance, with Inter favored for the result (52.8%) but the draw still relatively close (23.4%). The goals outlook leans slightly toward a higher-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals at 51.3%. Both teams to score is also favored at 55.3%, consistent with Milan’s lack of clean sheets and Inter’s ability to score while still conceding some goals. Given the friendly context and the small number of matches, the confidence is limited (35) and the risk is high, so the away win looks plausible but not assured.