AC Horsens vs Brondby
0–265′Sun, Aug 9, 04:00 PMCASA Arena
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
AC Horsens (DL) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.2 for Brondby (LDLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 36/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
36/100
Confidence
36/100
Head-to-Head
Brondby 5-2 AC Horsens
2023-02-19T18:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
AC Horsens 0-2 Brondby
2022-09-04T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
AC Horsens 1-2 Brondby
2020-12-20T20:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Brondby 2-1 AC Horsens
2020-09-27T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
AC Horsens 3-2 Brondby
2020-06-07T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Brondby 1-2 AC Horsens
2019-08-04T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Model reasoning
AC Horsens at home have scored 2 goals and conceded 3 across 2 matches, with no clean sheets. Their recent form includes a draw and a loss, suggesting they can concede even when they avoid defeat.
Brondby’s overall record shows a fairly balanced but attack-capable profile, with 45 goals scored and 38 conceded in 33 matches, plus 12 clean sheets. Their recent form includes a loss followed by a win and a loss, which points to some inconsistency rather than complete control.
With both teams to score at 53.5% and over 2.5 goals at 48.0%, the matchup leans toward a game where scoring from both sides is more likely than a shutout. The relatively close home win and away win probabilities (36.5% vs 36.0%) also fits a scenario where neither side dominates fully.
The confidence is low (36) and the risk is high, so BTTS Yes looks like the better directional call, but it’s not strongly supported by the limited home sample for Horsens.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Sun, 09 Aug 2026 09:10 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
